So, here’s my guess at Apple’s iPad plans for 2011:
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An iPad 2, fairly soon. Say, a March announcement, shipping in the first week of April. Faster, more RAM, maybe more storage, thinner and lighter, a front-facing camera.1 Running iOS 4.3.
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iOS 5, announced at a developer event in March, shipping in June.
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iPad 3, shipping in September, announced at the annual iPod event. Running iOS 5.1, same as the next-generation iPod Touch.
How could Apple release a third-generation iPad just six months or so after the second one? Maybe it won’t be an actual next generation model. Maybe it’s more like an iPad 2.5, or iPad 2 Pro — a new higher-end model that sits atop the iPad product family, not a replacement for the iPad 2 models (which, of course, haven’t even been released yet).
Over at Daring Fireball, John Gruber has made some interesting suggestions about the potential release strategy that Apple may try and follow with the iPad this year.
Now Gruber is widely regarded as having some of the best sources within Apple but in this article he goes to lengths to emphasise that these is pure guess work on his part. However its a strong arguement all the same.
Having a release of a new iPad so soon after the holiday buying period would be a little strange for Apple, with most of their other releases scheduled around this. And with tablets destined to be even bigger in 2011 than they were in 2010, they will want to ensure they get the largest slice of the available Christmas spending this year.
While I don't necessarily agree with Gruber that bringing the iPad in line with the iPod range makes sense, I could see the iPad being brought inline with the iPhone. After all they both run iOS and this would make their software release cycle much easier and avoid the iOS 4 issue they ran into last year, with the iPhone running it for months ahead of the iPad.
So I'm going to stick my neck out here (I know I will regret this) and suggest that rather than an iPad 2 in March followed by a iPad 2.5 in September as Gruber suggests, maybe they will just hold off on iPad 2 until June and announce it at WWDC with the iPhone 5.
Unlikley I know but its always fun to guess
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